Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 15.170921 17.160478 19.386995 22.077442 25.259123 28.924945 33.501608
2025-09-14 11.974385 14.374009 17.273880 21.081963 26.019566 32.302425 41.062348
2025-09-21 10.043620 12.519019 15.661916 20.022722 26.043594 34.261254 46.687192
2025-09-28 8.838858 11.349793 14.665899 19.478003 26.478924 36.624337 53.103325
2025-10-05 8.867717 11.770421 15.777694 21.899888 31.371111 46.123952 72.319254
2025-10-12 8.413156 11.451640 15.791392 22.693565 33.908132 52.440641 87.925324
2025-10-19 7.658136 10.616605 14.948676 22.047756 34.018009 54.723005 96.811191
2025-10-26 7.341401 10.387549 14.974537 22.751382 36.438348 61.419861 116.009996
2025-11-02 6.841911 9.833291 14.435851 22.448666 37.036891 64.841981 129.349482
2025-11-09 6.386031 9.306593 13.887551 22.055997 37.395672 67.834254 142.588965
2025-11-16 6.010530 8.875743 13.453185 21.805724 37.971986 71.354646 158.203826
2025-11-23 5.613073 8.380072 12.868760 21.219556 37.802331 73.240826 170.236211
2025-11-30 5.293940 8.003827 12.478278 20.992642 38.418799 77.219042 190.206650
2025-12-07 4.885048 7.452992 11.747655 20.055540 37.441703 77.357047 199.221428
2025-12-14 4.506393 6.928768 11.024581 19.060934 36.206922 76.643715 205.428623
2025-12-21 4.236049 6.571625 10.571066 18.549036 35.961126 78.358297 220.469062
2025-12-28 4.388437 6.949047 11.463843 20.823225 42.376083 99.062195 314.969620
2026-01-04 4.313580 6.921148 11.606492 21.567554 45.341254 111.251625 386.253558
2026-01-11 4.074264 6.584046 11.140324 20.961934 44.872186 113.157549 413.514983
2026-01-18 4.004410 6.549109 11.249404 21.621759 47.744442 126.297642 506.042685
2026-01-25 3.831011 6.313565 10.950168 21.337930 48.085035 131.314559 560.511782
2026-02-01 3.660536 6.074229 10.627525 20.969664 48.144173 135.426194 613.984955
2026-02-08 3.515676 5.875298 10.372796 20.734886 48.545238 140.920446 682.294170